Ball Ball

Ball numbered 17 is chosen from balls numbered 1 to 38. How will I predict the next number to be choose?

A round bottom flask contained balls numbered 1 to 38. Air is pumped inside and the balls are rotated. Ball numbered 17 settles at the bottom center of the flask and is carried up by a glassy rod. From the chosen numder 17, how will I predict the next number to be chosen? Is there any formular for that?

Assuming all the balls are of uniform size, shape, and weight, there is no possible way to predict the next ball to be selected. Neither the rod which pushes the selected balls up the flask, the balls themselves, or the air being pumped know or care which ball was last selected.

Even if the balls were inserted into the flask in a controlled manner, say one at a time, in numerical order, dropped from precisely the same height, and at equal intervals, it would not matter. Nor would it matter if the amount of time the air pump was active remained constant. It is still a completely random event.

Consider this FAR LESS "random event:" Have you ever watched 'The Price is Right?' Remember the game Plinko? Even when the disc was dropped from the same position into the same slot, rarely did it end up in the same position twice in a row.

I wish there were a magic formula for me to have provided you, but unfortunately that's just not the case.

Best of luck.

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